Old Fashioned appeared on his way to another impressive win. Hed already put away one big rival and was alone near the rail in the final stretch of the Rebel Stakes.
Then, out of nowhere, a 57-1 shot came up from the outside and shook up the whole Kentucky Derby picture.
Win Willy passed Old Fashioned in the stretch Saturday to win the Rebel, upsetting the 2-5 favorite by 2 lengths. It was Old Fashioneds first loss in five career startsand it came in Win Willys first start in a stakes race.
The Rebel is the second of Oaklawn Parks three big Kentucky Derby prep races. The series concludes with next months Arkansas Derby.
This was a home run for us and the horse, said McLean Robertson, Win Willys trainer. If he comes out of this race well, we will keep him here and run in the Arkansas Derby.
Old Fashioned entered the race as a prohibitive favoriteand perhaps the overall favorite for the Run for the Roses in May. He won the Southwest at Oaklawn last month, settling in behind Silver City before taking the lead on the second turn.
The $300,000 Rebel began in similar fashion, with Silver City moving to the front and Old Fashioned chasing close behind. But the first quarter-mile was over in 22.54 seconds, a quick pace which might have cost the initial leaders down the stretch.
Old Fashioned was also racing on an off track for the first time. The track was listed as good after the area received a bit of rain in recent days.
It is hard to say what happened, said Larry Jones, Old Fashioneds trainer. The track was heavy, and with those kinds of fractions it was bound to catch up with him. He ran well, and we are proud of what he did.
Old Fashioned started from the rail, and that seemed like a potential advantage when three of the days first five winners came from post No. 1. Win Willy started from the outside at No. 9, making the chestnut colts late charge even more impressive.
I was surprised that he ran as big as he did, said Cliff Berry, the winners jockey. You just dont expect an outsider, breaking from an outside post, to put in a big run, circle his field and draw off like he did.
At the half-mile mark, Silver City led by 1 1/2 lengths over Old Fashioned. Win Willy, meanwhile, was in last place, 13 lengths behind the leader.
Old Fashioned made quick work of Silver Citys lead but didnt have the energy to hold off Win Willy, the second-longest shot on the board.
Win Willy won for the third time in four career starts, but this was his first stakes race. He covered the 1 1-16 miles in 1:44.41.
He relaxed very easily when I asked him, Berry said. On the last turn, when my horse picked it up, I thought to myself that I was at least going to get third, or fourth. Then I said, Heck, I am going to win it.
Win Willys longest previous race was a sixth-place finish at 7 1/2 furlongs in Octoberbut that loss was on turf. He won at 6 furlongs on dirt last month at Oaklawn.
After he won his last race I thought the distance would be okay. This race came at the right time frame, Robertson said. I was fairly impressed with his last race, and he did act that the distance would be no problem.
Win Willy paid $115.60 on a $2 win bet.
Old Fashioned isnt the only top 3-year-old trained by Jones. Friesan Fire, another of his horses, won convincingly in the Louisiana Derby on Saturday.
At least Old Fashioned held on for a strong second. Silver City dropped all the way to fifth. Poltergeist took third.
The drying out track and those fractions really hurt my colts chances, said Ramon Dominguez, Old Fashioneds jockey. He really felt good under me during the early running, and then I felt him start to tire, when I asked him early in the stretch. Afterwards, he galloped out well.
Dont count him out. He still has something to learn.